This page tracks every stock Couch Investor has discussed on YouTube, extracted from AI transcription of their 22 most recent videos covering 52 tickers. They are currently bullish on SOFI, NBIS, RDDT, AMD, GOOGL, RKLB and others. Bearish on AAPL, CRWD, ARM, NVTS, PENG. Each take below includes their stated reasoning and, where given, a price target.
The creator notes an upcoming FOMC meeting on the same day as SoFi's earnings, which could impact the stock. Interest rates are a key focus, with the expectation that rates may not come down or could even hike, though SoFi has already factored in no rate cuts. Market sentiment is slightly positive to start the week due to news of NVIDIA's $250B commitment to an OpenAI data center, boosting AI and semiconductor names.
| Ticker | Action | Why | Target | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SOFI●●● | buy | The creator believes SoFi is extremely undervalued, trading at $16.70 against a probability-weighted DCF target of $23.45. The business is performing exceptionally well with ~38% revenue growth, strong net interest margins, and improving profitability, with the stock's 39% YTD decline driven purely by negative sentiment rather than fundamentals. | $23.45 | 1d ago |
RDDT●●● | buy | Creator bought more this week on a dip driven by headlines about the $60M Google deal ending. Believes Reddit's data is worth far more than $60M and expects a renegotiated, larger deal. Revenue expected to grow 71% YoY with EPS up 409%, margins improving, and the $32B company looks very cheap. | — | 2d ago |
META●●● | buy | Meta is cheap at $600 versus an intrinsic value of $800-$900, and the market is overly focused on negative free cash flow from heavy capex. The creator believes Meta's AI investments (MuseSpark, subscription models) will eventually generate billions in high-margin revenue and flip sentiment. | — | 4d ago |
SOFI●●● | buy | SoFi is down 39% YTD despite accelerating growth (41% YoY last quarter) and improving profitability, making it a better business at $16 than it was at $7-8. The creator expects strong numbers but notes guidance may stay flat, which Wall Street may not like. | — | 4d ago |
RDDT●●● | buy | Reddit is down 30% YTD on concerns about walking away from a $60M Google licensing deal, but the creator believes the data is worth far more and better deals will come. Revenue is growing ~70% YoY with rapidly improving free cash flow, making this a good opportunity. | — | 4d ago |
GOOGL●●● | buy | Google Cloud growth is accelerating at 81.8% with margins expanding from 20.7% to ~36% year-over-year, justifying heavy capex spending. The negative free cash flow is a temporary result of infrastructure buildout, and the core business remains highly profitable. The creator believes Google is one of the best ways to get exposure to AI, robotics, and autonomous vehicles, and expects the company to flip into a highly profitable cash machine once the growth cycle ends, similar to Amazon's trajectory. | $300 | 5d ago |
NBIS●●● | buy | Google's supply constraints, continued demand strength, and planned use of external third-party compute capacity as a bridging strategy means NeoCloud players like Nebius should see significantly more business in coming quarters and years if they execute correctly. | — | 5d ago |
NBIS●●● | add | Highest conviction name; the creator believes Nebius will be a $100B+ company because no single AI model will win it all, and more models mean more token generation and compute demand. Kimi K3's capacity issues prove compute demand remains insatiable, benefiting neutral infrastructure providers like Nebius. | — | 1w ago |
RKLB●●● | add | The creator is buying back shares he previously took profit on, now at lower prices. He accumulated 30 shares at $68.36 after the stock dropped below $70, and plans to continue accumulating under $80. | — | 1w ago |
SOFI●●● | add | SoFi is back at the #2 portfolio position as AI names took a bigger hit. The creator may buy more if the price comes down. | — | 1w ago |
RDDT●●● | add | The creator wants to increase his Reddit position and is keeping cash available for that purpose. | — | 1w ago |
AXON●●● | add | The creator wants to increase his Axon position and is keeping cash available for that purpose. | — | 1w ago |
HOOD●●● | buy | Buying after a significant drawdown as a contrarian opportunity. | — | 1w ago |
RKLB●●● | buy | Wouldn't have picked it above $100 but the huge drawdown created an attractive entry point for a space play. | — | 1w ago |
NOW●●● | buy | High-quality enterprise software pick that could surprise people over the next year. | — | 1w ago |
The creator believes SoFi is extremely undervalued, trading at $16.70 against a probability-weighted DCF target of $23.45. The business is performing exceptionally well with ~38% revenue growth, strong net interest margins, and improving profitability, with the stock's 39% YTD decline driven purely by negative sentiment rather than fundamentals.
Price target: $23.45
Largest position at 19% with average cost of $152.50 across 540 shares. Creator is deeply convinced Nebius is better than competitors and will win in AI cloud infrastructure. Open source/open weights push benefits Nebius, and Token Factory launching Kimi model could be another DeepSeek-like moment for the business. Wouldn't mind buying more but prefers waiting for earnings.
Creator bought more this week on a dip driven by headlines about the $60M Google deal ending. Believes Reddit's data is worth far more than $60M and expects a renegotiated, larger deal. Revenue expected to grow 71% YoY with EPS up 409%, margins improving, and the $32B company looks very cheap.
Number two position in the portfolio and has held up well during the recent downturn.
Number four position at $319. Noted Berkshire Hathaway's recent investment in Google as a positive signal. Expects Google to talk about significant CapEx increases for 2027.
Number five position, down over 50% and drifting lower near $60. Creator still holds and views the pullback as making entry into earnings less priced to perfection.
Number seven position, considered undervalued going into earnings. Expects strong numbers with revenue around $6.2B. Key focus is on commentary around recommendation systems, advertising, Meta Cloud business, and subscription business. CapEx expected at $33.2B this quarter with annual estimates potentially heading toward $200B for FY27.
Expects strong numbers with revenue around $87.6B and positive free cash flow of $17.4B. CapEx expected to jump from $118.8B this fiscal year to potentially near $200B next year. Signed open source/open weights letter alongside Nebius.
Considered undervalued at current levels. Crypto business is near dead but prediction markets will be the star of the show and a huge business. Without prediction markets, the stock would be worth less than current $95. EPS expected up 38% YoY with revenue up 40%.
Back under $70 on headlines about Waymo potentially ending their partnership after 2028. Creator views this as overblown — by 2028 multiple AV players will enter the market, and Uber's decade-plus distribution network wins as AV fleets become commoditized. More AV players actually benefits Uber's platform model. Not going to zero.
Picking back up to $920 after going under $900. Expects Micron and SK Hynix to return to all-time highs as the business is still growing significantly and these players will be printing cash. Received a dividend.
Cybersecurity names have done well recently. Rubrik is still expensive but a very good company with AI as a tailwind.
CapEx expected at $202B this year and $230B next year with some estimates as high as $304B. Revenue expected near $196B. Free cash flow expected negative for the quarter, and creator would be very surprised if it's positive despite analyst expectations.
At $122-123, considered a very good price going into earnings. Signed the open source/open weights letter.
Holding a bull spread that remains untouched. Reports Tuesday before the open. Creator may do a live stream for the earnings.
Holding a couple of shares. Signed the open source/open weights letter that Jensen Huang posted on X.
Number six position in the portfolio.
Back under $50 per share, held in the portfolio.
Still expensive but at least not at $640 anymore, making the entry into earnings less risky.
Intel beat and raised, posting its strongest revenue growth in over 15 years, signaling that server and CPU demand remains robust. While the current valuation may not reflect the business value today, continued revenue growth, margin expansion, and Foundry scaling could help it grow into its valuation over time.
Oracle didn't get a green day despite Google giving positive commentary about third-party neocloud and data center players, which the creator views as an unjustified reaction.
Briefly mentioned as a high-quality business that the creator is interested in, though no detailed thesis was provided.
ServiceNow beat across all metrics with 24% revenue growth, AI ACV surpassing $1B, and agentic AI deployments up 9x in nine months. The company is proving it can monetize AI while others are still searching for ROI, and raised full-year subscription revenue guidance to 22.5% growth. At a forward PE of 23x with strong margins, the creator views it as a quality software name insulated from the broader 'SaaSpocalypse' narrative.
Mentioned as part of the NeoCloud space that stands to benefit from Google's need for third-party compute capacity, though it was trading red pre-market at the time of recording.
Mentioned as part of the NeoCloud space that stands to benefit from Google's need for third-party compute capacity, though it was trading red pre-market at the time of recording.
At a $1.7B market cap, the defense business provides near-term revenue growth and a defensible base, while Starlab represents a call option on the commercial space station market post-ISS retirement. DCF base case implies ~54% upside to $54.20, with bull case at $87.75, though bear case is $0 if Starlab never materializes.
Price target: $54.2
Memory and storage play selected as part of the draft strategy alongside other AI-adjacent picks.
Trading at a cheap valuation after its significant drawdown; AI infrastructure exposure at a discount.
Picked as part of the draft portfolio; limited thesis details provided beyond it being a conviction pick others were willing to let him have.
Surprised others didn't pick it sooner; selected as a conviction pick in later rounds.
E-commerce platform picked in the later rounds of the draft as a growth name.
Sub-1B market cap company developing embodied AI software for drones and robots; pre-revenue but thematically compelling.
No other pick is as screaming and obvious over the next year as Corweave; his top AI infrastructure target that Manuel took before his turn.
TSMC delivered an excellent quarter with revenue up 33.7% YoY and net profit up 77.4% YoY, beating estimates across the board. They raised CapEx guidance to $60-64B and announced an additional $100B U.S. investment, signaling the AI semiconductor cycle is far from peaking.
ASML is a super important player in the AI semiconductor space and their recent commentary aligns with TSMC's in signaling continued strong demand in the AI cycle.
Already trading at attractive prices today, so no need to wait for a pullback to add.
Received approval to operate as a multiple banking institution in Mexico, unlocking cost and liquidity advantages. This regulatory parity combined with Nu's digital agility paves the way to replicate its highly profitable Brazilian growth engine. Wants to see it back above $14 for more momentum.
Price target: $14
Market still prices Zeta as an ad company rather than an AI data platform. The Palantir partnership building a shared AI infrastructure layer could generate over $100M in ARR. Margin expansion, growth acceleration from the Marigold acquisition, and a proprietary 245M-person identity graph create a data moat no competitor has.
Price target: $30
Creator believes Eli Lilly should have been up on Monday rather than down 1.1%, implying it is mispriced on the day.
As a TPU-type player, Broadcom could benefit if Nvidia's NVLink roadmap faces major delays through 2028.
Apple trades at a significant premium to its historical averages (PE 40x vs 30.5x average) despite revenue growth expected to dip below 10% for the next two years. The creator questions why Apple deserves a higher multiple than faster-growing peers like Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, and Google, and believes a lot is priced in.
CrowdStrike is a super high-quality business still growing over 20%, but it trades at a forward PE of 140x with negative operating margins. The creator questions whether it can sustain 20%+ growth for many years to justify the valuation, and is unwilling to pay such a premium.
Arm is extremely expensive with forward EV/sales of 45x and PE of 120x on under $5B in revenue. Growth of 20-35% is not enough to justify the valuation, and the creator sees no reason to own it when Microsoft or Meta can be bought at lower multiples with faster growth.
Navitas is a $2.5B company generating only $40.5M in revenue and losing money, down 65% from highs. The creator views investing in such names without evidence of major future deals as pure gambling, and warns these momentum-driven names get hit hardest during earnings season.
Shorted because the stock is up as investors rotate from beaten-down memory stocks into optimization plays, which Tevis views as overdone.
Still around $14 with creator questioning what the stock is doing at that level. Holding steady but no clear thesis expressed.
Netflix is cheap on paper and is a great, profitable company, but the creator is unwilling to add right now because the market will likely wait a quarter or two for confirmation that things are moving in the right direction. He has placed it in a 'penalty box' as a wait-and-see story.
Mentioned as an example of a company where there might be real traction with the business, unlike many speculative names in the ecosystem.
Mentioned as a comparison in the space sector drawdown, down ~48% from May peak and already below the weekly 50 MA. Creator notes space names tend to move together regardless of individual business quality.
Down from ~$225 peak to ~$136, but creator still thinks it's quite expensive at current levels. Notes it moves the whole space sector and a rebound there could lift other names.
Lower memory prices could pressure Dell's YoY server pricing but could also unlock delayed deployments by improving server affordability and customer budgets. Net impact is mixed.
Sold out of retirement portfolio position, leaving 12.3% cash. No longer held.
The creator provides an earnings preview for SoFi, expressing a strongly bullish view on the stock due to its exceptional business performance and undervaluation. They highlight that macro factors, specifically the upcoming FOMC meeting and interest rate environment, are the primary headwinds for the stock price, though the business itself is thriving. The broader market is seeing a slight positive sentiment boost from AI and semiconductor news.
Portfolio update covering a down week (-1.4%) led by Nebius' 15% Friday drop. Creator remains highly convicted on Nebius as largest position, bought more Reddit on a dip, and previews upcoming earnings for Meta, Microsoft, Robinhood, SoFi, and others. Expects strong quarters from most names but acknowledges macro/FOMC headwinds could pressure stocks regardless. Views pullbacks as opportunities, noting many holdings are now undervalued going into earnings.
The creator discusses stocks to potentially sell or avoid before earnings, using examples from his own portfolio (Uber, Netflix, Shift4) where valuations are attractive but sentiment/momentum is lacking, making it prudent to wait for earnings confirmation. He also highlights overvalued names like Apple, Arm, CrowdStrike, and Navitas where prices don't justify fundamentals, and warns about high-flying momentum stocks with no earnings. He remains constructive on memory names like Micron for a few more quarters but cautions on eventual pricing compression.
The creator discusses several stocks ahead of a busy earnings week, expressing a broadly bullish long-term stance on AI infrastructure and big tech despite short-term market concerns about capex spending. He argues that companies like Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Intel are putting up strong numbers and that heavy capex investment is justified for long-term competitive advantage. He highlights Meta, Microsoft, SoFi, Reddit, and Nebius as attractive pre-earnings opportunities, while viewing AMD as a long-term play not ideal for a pre-earnings entry. He also covers AMD's AI event and Intel's recent earnings beat.
The creator reviews Alphabet's Q2 earnings, which beat on most metrics with accelerating Google Cloud growth (81.8%) and expanding margins, but the stock is down ~5% due to negative free cash flow and rising capex guidance through 2027. He remains strongly bullish on Google, viewing the drawdown as a buying opportunity near $300-310. He also covers ServiceNow's strong quarter, noting AI ACV surpassed $1B and agentic AI deployments up 9x, suggesting the 'SaaSpocalypse' narrative doesn't apply to quality software names. He highlights that Google's supply constraints and planned use of third-party compute capacity is bullish for NeoCloud players like Nebius.
The creator presents Voyager Technologies as a potential multibagger, highlighting its defense tech business as a near-term revenue driver and Starlab as a long-term call option. He has no position and doesn't plan to buy, preferring his existing Rocket Lab exposure. He walks through a DCF with base case $54.20, bull case $87.75, and bear case $0, noting significant risks around space launches and delays.
The creator discusses buying Nebius and Rocket Lab during a market pullback, driven by AI sector weakness following the Kimi K3 model release. He remains highly convicted on Nebius as an AI compute play, arguing that cheaper tokens and growing ecosystem demand will drive more compute needs, not less. He previews upcoming earnings for Alphabet, Intel, and others, and notes shifting Fed rate probabilities with a growing chance of no cuts in 2026.
Couch Investor (Tevis) participates in a 2026 stock draft with fellow investing YouTubers, selecting 12 stocks for a 12-month competition. His portfolio is heavily concentrated in AI infrastructure and growth names, which he acknowledges carries significant risk if AI capex slows. He picks Robinhood and Rocket Lab after drawdowns, ServiceNow, Palantir, Bloom Energy, SanDisk, Super Micro, Iron, Ondas, Shopify, and sub-1B Paladine AI, while shorting Penguin Solutions. He also expresses strong bullish views on Corweave, Nebius, and ASTS (taken by others before his turn), and is bearish on Micron (calling it a falling knife). The group ran multiple AI models (Claude, ChatGPT, Kimmy) to evaluate and roast their portfolios, with models characterizing Tevis's portfolio as having the highest variance—potentially +50% or -30%.
The creator sees buying opportunities amid market red days, focusing on quality companies at attractive prices rather than market levels. Key themes include Nebius's non-dilutive debt financing and AI inference tailwinds, Netflix's solid but uncertain outlook, Meta's cloud push and potential Anthropic deal, Uber's Delivery Hero acquisition making it a juggernaut, and Rocket Lab's Neutron dependency. The creator is selectively buying dips in names like Nebius and Rocket Lab while holding Netflix and waiting for better entry points on Axon.
The creator discusses a broad semiconductor and AI infrastructure sell-off happening despite strong earnings from TSMC and ASML. TSMC reported excellent numbers with raised CapEx guidance, signaling the AI cycle is far from over. Headlines about CoreWeave hedging memory prices and Japanese firms exploring post-NVIDIA alternatives are driving negative sentiment, but the creator views these as headline-driven overreactions. Penguin Solutions is highlighted as an interesting NVIDIA partner optimizing memory bottlenecks. Nebius's new asset-light partnership model is seen as an acceleration strategy, not a business model change. The creator sees a buy-the-dip opportunity, particularly in Nebius.
Based on AI analysis of this creator's recent videos. Theses are paraphrases of the creator's own words, not verbatim quotes. Not financial advice.