This page tracks every stock Daniel Pronk has discussed on YouTube, extracted from AI transcription of their 14 most recent videos covering 36 tickers. They are currently bullish on AMZN, MELI, SPY, NOW, CNSWF, META and others. Bearish on TSLA, VZ, AMD, FI, LULU, PYPL. Each take below includes their stated reasoning and, where given, a price target.
The creator emphasizes that valuation is directly tied to risk and that stock valuations are relative to the risk-free rate (government bond yields). He notes that bond yields have declined significantly from 1971 to 2026, justifying higher P/E ratios for defensive stocks today. He also highlights that falling stock prices actually reduce risk if fundamentals remain intact, contrary to typical investor psychology driven by recency bias.
| Ticker | Action | Why | Target | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY●●● | buy | Dollar-cost averaging into index funds like the S&P 500 is the most simple, effective, and proven strategy for defensive investors to generate long-term profits. | — | 3d ago |
META●●● | buy | Pronk's Meta DCF with 15% annual operating cash flow growth and a 14x price-to-operating-cash-flow multiple yields a 19% compounded annual growth rate, which is significantly higher and more conservative than Google's DCF. He has chosen to purchase Meta over Google. | — | 6d ago |
AMZN●●● | buy | Pronk states he has chosen to purchase Amazon over Google, implying he finds it a more attractive investment opportunity, though he does not provide a detailed thesis in this video. | — | 6d ago |
AMZN●●● | buy | Amazon is the infrastructure layer of AI and benefits from increased adoption as AI costs decline. AWS has always been capital-intensive but has a proven track record of generating strong long-term cash flows, and demand currently exceeds what they can capitalize on. Gross margins and operating cash flow margins are at all-time highs. | — | 1w ago |
META●●● | buy | Meta uses AI in-house to improve its recommendation systems, so cheaper AI increases its ROI. Revenue growth and operating cash flows are accelerating and at all-time highs despite heavy CapEx. | — | 1w ago |
AMZN●●● | buy | Included in his Fortress Index as a durable company with a wide moat that has a high likelihood of growing for decades. | — | 1w ago |
COST●●● | buy | Included in his Fortress Index as a durable company with a wide moat that has a high likelihood of growing for decades. | — | 1w ago |
GOOGL●●● | buy | Included in his Fortress Index as a durable company with a wide moat that has a high likelihood of growing for decades. | — | 1w ago |
CP●●● | buy | Included in his Fortress Index as a durable company with a wide moat that has a high likelihood of growing for decades. | — | 1w ago |
META●●● | buy | Trading for under 20 times forward earnings, Meta is growing faster, is more diversified, and has a much stronger moat than Netflix. A conservative DCF projects a 16.4% compounded annual growth rate, offering significantly higher future returns. | — | 1w ago |
MSFT●●● | buy | Trading for under 20 times forward earnings, Microsoft is a higher quality business than Netflix, growing more rapidly with better diversification. A conservative DCF projects a 19% compounded annual growth rate. | — | 1w ago |
AMZN●●● | buy | Amazon is gaining streaming market share at a faster pace than Netflix and is considered cheap in the current market, making it a more attractive investment. | — | 1w ago |
ROAD●●● | buy | Construction Partners is a serial acquirer and organic grower in the highly fragmented, recurring-revenue road maintenance industry. The stock recently corrected 30%, making it undervalued on price/EBITDA and price/FCF bases relative to its growth outlook (projected 15% revenue and 18% EBITDA CAGR to 2030, which the creator believes is sandbagged). The company has a proven, repeatable business model with a massive runway for consolidation. | $193 | 2w ago |
AMZN●●● | buy | Amazon's premium has compressed significantly and it now looks like one of the best buys in the market. It has become his second largest portfolio position at around 10%. | — | 2w ago |
META●●● | buy | Meta trades below 20x forward earnings, below the S&P 500 multiple, despite being one of the best businesses in the world. It has been one of his largest buys over the past year. | — | 2w ago |
The underlying business has grown tremendously over the past five years while the stock price has lagged, making it very cheap today. The creator believes the next five years should look much different than the previous five.
The business has grown significantly but the stock is flat or down over five years, meaning investors get much more value per dollar today. The creator considers it very cheap with strong future return potential.
Dollar-cost averaging into index funds like the S&P 500 is the most simple, effective, and proven strategy for defensive investors to generate long-term profits.
ServiceNow beat all Q2 guidance on the high end, growing subscription revenue 23% constant currency with a seven-year track record of under-promising and over-delivering. AI is acting as an accelerant, the cybersecurity business crossed $1B ACV, retention is 98%, and the stock trades at its lowest-ever P/FCF of ~22x. His DCF projects 200%+ returns over five years if the company hits $30B revenue by 2030, and even conservative assumptions yield ~18.6% CAGR.
Price target: $183
Pronk owns the Constellation family of stocks instead of ServiceNow, viewing them as some of the best-managed companies in the market with zero stock-based compensation, consistent 20%+ growth, and strong insider alignment. His conservative DCF (13% annual growth, 17x P/FCF) still yields ~17% CAGR, and he prefers these over ServiceNow due to higher conviction.
Pronk's Meta DCF with 15% annual operating cash flow growth and a 14x price-to-operating-cash-flow multiple yields a 19% compounded annual growth rate, which is significantly higher and more conservative than Google's DCF. He has chosen to purchase Meta over Google.
Microsoft is a hyperscaler and cloud provider for AI that will see significant tailwinds as AI adoption grows. Revenue growth and operating cash flows are accelerating, supporting the CapEx spend.
Brookfield is investing in the energy and infrastructure build-out in the US, North America, and Europe. As energy scarcity becomes a larger political issue and the US needs to build more power to support AI, Brookfield is well-positioned to benefit.
Included in his Fortress Index as a durable company with a wide moat that has a high likelihood of growing for decades.
Included in his Fortress Index as a durable company with a wide moat that has a high likelihood of growing for decades.
Construction Partners is a serial acquirer and organic grower in the highly fragmented, recurring-revenue road maintenance industry. The stock recently corrected 30%, making it undervalued on price/EBITDA and price/FCF bases relative to its growth outlook (projected 15% revenue and 18% EBITDA CAGR to 2030, which the creator believes is sandbagged). The company has a proven, repeatable business model with a massive runway for consolidation.
Price target: $193
One of the highest quality software stocks trading at its lowest price-to-free cash flow multiple (15x) in over a decade, with revenue and FCF compounding at ~20% annually. Zero stock-based compensation and zero dilution since IPO, with management incentivized to reinvest cash bonuses into shares. He believes it will not be disrupted by AI.
Trading near its lowest ever price-to-free cash flow of 23.2x with revenue growing over 30% annually and hitting $1B TTM, low stock-based compensation, declining share count via buybacks, and a strong balance sheet. He does not own it yet but is actively researching.
Revenue growing ~32% annually with accelerating growth, FCF at all-time highs of $178M TTM, and projecting to roughly double FCF to $371M by 2028. At 29x price-to-free cash flow, it looks undervalued if they achieve their growth projections.
Visa is part of a duopoly that acts as the rails of global commerce, making it one of the highest-margin, cash-flowing businesses in the world.
Mastercard is part of a duopoly that acts as the rails of global commerce, making it one of the highest-margin, cash-flowing businesses in the world.
As part of a Canadian duopoly with networks across North America, CN forms the backbone of the global economy with irreplaceable infrastructure that is unlikely to be disrupted.
Walmart is critical for consumers and has grown consistently for decades, making it one of the strongest physical retail businesses in the world.
Fortis is a high-quality utility company that will produce and grow its cash flows as long as people need power.
Duke Energy is a high-quality utility company that will produce and grow its cash flows as long as people need power.
NextEra Energy is a high-quality utility with regulatory protection that will produce and grow its cash flows as long as people need power.
Veeva is the highest quality stock in Burry's portfolio—a dominant vertical software company for life sciences growing revenue 16% with double-digit profit growth, a pristine balance sheet with ~$8B net cash, low stock-based compensation, and nearly zero CapEx. It trades at just 12.5x EV/FCF, its lowest ever, down from a long-term median of 37, due to the SaaSpocalypse and AI fears.
Tesla's fundamentals have been underwhelming for 3-4 years with flat revenue since Q3 2023 and declining gross profits, operating income, and net income. Despite this, it trades at extreme multiples (P/S 14.5, P/E 367, forward PE 170, P/FCF 203). The current valuation prices in massive future success in robotics, AI, and energy, but if those businesses don't materialize as highly profitable, the stock has only one way to go. The stock trades on Elon Musk hype rather than fundamentals.
The creator explicitly states he does not want to own Verizon in his portfolio.
Amazon's internal chips business is already larger than AMD's entire business ($50B annualized run rate if sold to third parties vs AMD's $37B TTM revenue) and growing significantly faster, yet the market is buying up AMD while not giving Amazon's chips business the respect it deserves.
Fiserv trades at very low multiples (~8x earnings, ~6x FCF) but its business is clearly declining with organic revenue down 4%, margins contracting, and every fundamental metric falling for over a year. The company has negative tangible book value, heavy debt, and has been raising debt and selling assets to fund share buybacks while fundamentals deteriorate.
Lululemon's Americas business is declining, margins are compressing, and the company is projecting further revenue and earnings deterioration for the rest of 2026. The creator views fashion as an uninvestable industry outside his circle of competence and believes the low PE will look expensive in hindsight if earnings keep falling.
PayPal trades at 7.5x earnings but its actual net income declined 14% YoY, active accounts are barely growing, payments per active account are declining, and the company is guiding for flat or declining EPS in 2026. The creator believes PayPal is using share buybacks to mask declining earnings and that the business is not high quality.
Typical defensive, low-growth dividend stocks are currently selling for well over 20 times earnings due to declining bond yields since 1971. The creator views 25 times earnings as a more realistic valuation limit today.
Typical defensive, low-growth dividend stocks are currently selling for well over 20 times earnings due to declining bond yields since 1971. The creator views 25 times earnings as a more realistic valuation limit today.
Typical defensive, low-growth dividend stocks are currently selling for well over 20 times earnings due to declining bond yields since 1971. The creator views 25 times earnings as a more realistic valuation limit today.
Typical defensive, low-growth dividend stocks are currently selling for well over 20 times earnings due to declining bond yields since 1971. The creator views 25 times earnings as a more realistic valuation limit today.
Google delivered a fantastic quarter with accelerating revenue (24%), exploding Google Cloud growth (82%), and strong operating income growth (30%). However, free cash flow turned negative for the first time due to massive CapEx, the company stopped buybacks and began diluting shares and raising debt, and the stock appears fairly valued at ~22.6x operating cash flow with a DCF yielding only ~12.5% CAGR over 3 years, which is not enough margin of safety.
Price target: $366
Netflix stock is down roughly 9% after hours and ~50% from all-time highs following Q2 earnings, with continued decelerated revenue growth and competitors potentially growing their businesses more effectively. The creator references a fuller analysis of whether the stock is now cheap but does not commit to a directional view in this clip.
Adobe is trading at under 8x free cash flow, the cheapest since the 2009 financial crisis, with durable profits and growing revenue. However, the creator is concerned about AI disruption—generative AI is already replacing his own use of Adobe products—and both the CEO and CFO have recently left, creating uncertainty.
Zoetis is trading at its lowest PE ever (~12x) but the CEO cited broad deterioration in the U.S. business, increased competition, and price-sensitive pet owners reducing vet visits. With only low single-digit revenue and earnings growth expected, the creator thinks the low multiple is arguably fair but the stock lacks the quality and growth he looks for.
The creator summarizes Chapter 5 of The Intelligent Investor, focusing on guidelines for defensive investors. He emphasizes that valuation is directly tied to risk and that stock prices are relative to the risk-free rate. He discusses his current positions in Amazon and Mercado Libre, arguing they are very cheap after years of business growth without corresponding stock price appreciation. He also advocates for dollar-cost averaging into index funds like SPY for passive investors.
Daniel Pronk analyzes ServiceNow's Q2 2026 earnings, concluding the stock is undervalued at ~22x trailing free cash flow with the business growing 20%+ and AI acting as a tailwind. His DCF suggests 200%+ returns over five years if ServiceNow hits its $30B revenue target by 2030. Despite being bullish, he is not buying because he prefers the Constellation family of software stocks, which he already owns and views as better managed with higher conviction.
Daniel Pronk analyzes Google's Q2 2026 earnings, noting a phenomenal quarter with 24% revenue growth, 82% Google Cloud growth, and 30% operating income growth. However, the stock sold off ~4% in after hours due to negative free cash flow this quarter, rising CapEx guidance ($195-205B for 2026, significantly higher in 2027), share dilution, and slowing search revenue guidance. He values Google at roughly fair value using a DCF (12.5% CAGR over 3 years), and prefers Meta and Amazon as better investment opportunities with higher expected returns.
Daniel Pronk analyzes three stocks reporting earnings on Wednesday: Google, ServiceNow, and Tesla. He finds Google fairly valued to slightly undervalued but lacking sufficient margin of safety for his taste. He sees ServiceNow as genuinely undervalued after the SaaS selloff but isn't adding due to existing software allocation. He considers Tesla massively overvalued, with fundamentals declining for years while trading at extreme multiples, driven by hype rather than fundamentals.
Daniel Pronk shares highlights from a Larry Fink interview about the AI build-out and hyperscaler demand. He remains bullish on AI infrastructure stocks, arguing that recent sell-off fears are overblown. Key themes: hyperscaler demand still exceeds supply, AI costs coming down is bullish for adoption, and massive energy infrastructure investment is needed in the US to keep pace with China. He holds Amazon and Meta positions and is also invested in Brookfield Asset Management for energy infrastructure exposure.
The creator explains why he avoids the S&P 500, citing its over-concentration in the Magnificent 7 and semiconductor sector, as well as the inclusion of companies he dislikes like Verizon and Tesla. He advocates using Questrade's custom indexing feature to build a personalized portfolio, highlighting his own 'Fortress Index' which consists of equally weighted, durable companies with wide moats such as Amazon, Costco, Google, and CP Rail.
Daniel Pronk briefly discusses Netflix's Q2 earnings results, noting the stock is down ~9% in after-hours and ~50% from all-time highs due to decelerating revenue growth and competitive pressures. He references a separate full video where he analyzes whether the stock is now cheap.
Daniel Pronk reviews Netflix's Q2 2026 earnings, noting the stock is selling off due to consistent revenue deceleration across all regions and a weak Q3 guide. While he believes Netflix may be fairly valued to undervalued at a 20-23x P/E ratio, he does not own the stock because he finds Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon to be higher quality, faster growing, and cheaper alternatives, noting he has purchased Meta and Amazon for his portfolio.
The creator shares his investment thesis on Construction Partners (ROAD), a road maintenance and construction company operating primarily in the Southeast US. He recently bought a $50,000 position after a 30% stock correction made it look undervalued. He views the company as a serial acquirer in a highly fragmented industry with strong organic growth tailwinds, recurring revenue, and a history of beating sandbagged guidance.
Daniel Pronk argues the market is not in bubble territory despite elevated valuations, with the S&P 500 forward PE at 20.4—below the 2022 peak and well below the dot-com bubble. He sees value in hyperscalers trading at similar multiples to the broader market but with double the earnings growth, and in small/mid-cap stocks trading at a discount to large caps. He shares several portfolio holdings (Amazon, Meta, Constellation Software, Brookfield Asset Management, Construction Partners) and watchlist names (Global-E Online, Zeta), emphasizing long-term investing and staying fully invested.
Based on AI analysis of this creator's recent videos. Theses are paraphrases of the creator's own words, not verbatim quotes. Not financial advice.