This page tracks every stock Daniel Pronk has discussed on YouTube, extracted from AI transcription of their 8 most recent videos covering 9 tickers. They are currently bullish on META, ROAD, BAM. Bearish on NFLX, LULU. Each take below includes their stated reasoning and, where given, a price target.
Anthropic's S-1 reversed the recent AI sell-off: AI names spiked as the filing showed real profitability and $130B+ liquidity, easing funding fears. Hyperscalers sold off, though, as their cloud backlogs hinge on speculative Anthropic spend. He sees AI ROI as real.
| Ticker | Action | Why | Target | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
ROAD●●● | buy | Down ~30% despite record Q3 and $3.36B backlog; pass-through contracts neutralize inflation/oil and rate fears; ~10.3x EBITDA, cheapest since 2020, with 19% EBITDA growth guided to 2030. | $287 | 2w ago |
BAM●●● | buy | 4.4% yield growing 15%/yr (≈9% yield on cost in 5 yrs); 21.7x forward P/E vs 26.9 median; record 2026 fundraising and 15-17% earnings growth guidance; expects ~15-20% annual returns. | — | 2w ago |
AMZN●●● | buy | 17.5x operating cash flow vs 25 historical median; AWS GPU price hikes signal strong AI demand; sales-leaseback funds $200B capex, not weak demand; AWS revenue could double to $334B by 2028. | $500 | 2w ago |
BAM●●● | add | Hit unjustifiably by rate fears; fundamentals accelerating with 15-20% annual earnings growth targeted over 5 years, a 4.5% yield compounding ~15%/yr, and a 21x forward PE near its public-market low. | — | 2w ago |
ROAD●●● | add | Selloff unjustified: guidance raised a third time this year, 80-85% of next year's revenue contractually locked, inflation pass-through protects margins, price-to-EBITDA at 6-year lows, targets doubling by 2030. | — | 2w ago |
BAM●●● | add | Near-record-low ~20x forward P/E despite ~19% FRE growth, record fundraising, 91% permanent capital and OakTree's counter-cyclical earnings; DCF fair value $63, ~$88 in 5yrs. | $88 | 3w ago |
META●●● | add | Muse AI agent adoption is outpacing ChatGPT via free distribution; DCF yields 15-23% CAGR over 3 years with fair value of $827-$1,000. Stock still undervalued at 23x forward earnings despite 30% rally. | $1,000 | 3w ago |
Messy quarter (legal charge, negative FCF, dilution risk) but revenue +26%, AI investments paying off, underlying profitability growing; stock cheap at ~13.5x operating cash flow vs history.
Down ~30% despite record Q3 and $3.36B backlog; pass-through contracts neutralize inflation/oil and rate fears; ~10.3x EBITDA, cheapest since 2020, with 19% EBITDA growth guided to 2030.
Price target: $287
4.4% yield growing 15%/yr (≈9% yield on cost in 5 yrs); 21.7x forward P/E vs 26.9 median; record 2026 fundraising and 15-17% earnings growth guidance; expects ~15-20% annual returns.
Revenue growth is decelerating across all regions, the Q4 ad revenue guide was cut 10%, and watch-time is stagnant while YouTube takes share; he sees the moat weakening and growth relying on price hikes that eventually hit churn limits.
Cited as Burry's top position that has been crushed, with the business seeing significant weakness and disruption.
Sold off post-S1 because over $100B of its cloud backlog is tied to Anthropic commitments he considers speculative given unknown profitability out to 2030.
$110B non-cancelable Anthropic compute agreement out to 2036 makes part of AWS's backlog speculative; among the hyperscalers selling off on the S-1.
~$50B ($44.9B) non-cancelable Anthropic commitment is speculative spend he flags as a key reason hyperscalers sold off after the S-1.
Circular financing raises questions about revenue quality, explaining the low 19x forward PE, but he sees real third-party AI demand sustaining the broader AI trade.
Daniel Pronk digs through Anthropic's S-1, arguing the company is genuinely near breakeven with positive operating profit, $3.5B GAAP free cash flow, and ~$130B of liquid assets, which debunks social-media cash-burn fears and is reversing the recent AI sell-off. He explains hyperscalers sold off because their cloud backlogs are tied to hundreds of billions in Anthropic commitments he views as speculative. Despite the strong fundamentals, he is not buying the IPO, citing 30-40x revenue valuation, 80% consumption-based revenue, and ~$800B of non-cancelable compute commitments.
Daniel Pronk calls Meta's Q3 report messy — a $9.89B legal charge, negative free cash flow, rising costs, and a dilution-signaling Class C share — but argues underlying profitability is growing, with revenue up 26% and AI investments clearly paying off. He remains bullish, continuing to hold his shares and looking to add on weakness, valuing META at ~13.5x operating cash flow with ~17% annual compounding potential in his DCF. He also argues the recent AI/data-center selling is unjustified given the ongoing compute shortage.
Daniel Pronk breaks down Netflix's Q3 2026 report after the stock dropped ~6% post-earnings, highlighting in-line revenue but a cut to full-year revenue guidance and a 10% reduction in the Q4 advertising outlook. He argues Netflix's moat is weakening—watch-time growth is stagnant, YouTube is taking US TV share, and growth increasingly relies on price hikes—making him skeptical even at post-decline prices. He doesn't own the stock and lacks conviction to buy it here.
Daniel Pronk says an AI/neocloud crash is underway, sparked by CoreWeave's spiking bond yields, with CRWV, IREN and NBIS down 33-42% and sympathy selling hitting Oracle, Vertiv, FIX, AMD and NVIDIA. He views CoreWeave as an overleveraged, unprofitable business full of red flags that he refuses to own, but argues underlying AI demand remains robust, making the broad selloff overdone. He is buying high-quality AI beneficiaries into the dip ahead of hyperscaler earnings.
Daniel Pronk highlights three stocks he's been aggressively buying: Construction Partners (ROAD) after a ~30% post-earnings sell-off he calls unjustified, Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) for its cheap valuation and fast-growing 4.4% dividend, and Amazon (AMZN) as an undervalued AI/cloud winner. He argues macro fears—Fed rate hikes, inflation/oil, and private-equity redemptions—are overblown. Positions: ROAD ~5.4%, BAM >6%, AMZN >13% of his portfolio.
Daniel Pronk pushes back on Michael Burry's AI-crash warnings and Ray Dalio's debt-crash forecast, arguing AI circular financing isn't fraud given ~$940B of real third-party demand and that rising yields reflect temporary Iran-war/oil-driven inflation. Echoing Bruce Flatt and Howard Marks, he treats the panic as a buying opportunity. The only stocks he's buying are Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) and Construction Partners (ROAD), where most of his capital is flowing.
Daniel Pronk is aggressively adding to Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) after a ~20% correction, citing a near-record-low ~20x forward P/E, ~19% growth in fee-bearing capital and fee-related earnings, record 2026 fundraising, and a 4.5% dividend yield growing ~15% annually. His conservative DCF implies $63 fair value and ~$88 in five years (~18% annual shareholder return). He acknowledges rising-rate and sector redemption fears but argues BAM's fundamentals are unaffected.
Daniel Pronk remains highly bullish on Meta after its 30% rally, citing the successful Muse AI agent launch, free distribution advantages, and DCF analysis showing ~15-23% CAGR over 3 years. He views the stock as still undervalued at 23x forward earnings and plans to continue adding shares when cash becomes available.
Based on AI analysis of this creator's recent videos. Theses are paraphrases of the creator's own words, not verbatim quotes. Not financial advice.