This page tracks every stock Felix & Friends (Goat Academy) has discussed on YouTube, extracted from AI transcription of their 15 most recent videos covering 26 tickers. They are currently bullish on SILVER, XAU, GLDM, IAUM, OUNZ, SEZL and others. Bearish on CRWV, META, LRCX, NVDA, ORCL, MU. Each take below includes their stated reasoning and, where given, a price target.
AI trade derating: Nasdaq-100 fell 2.9% in a day ($1.2T); hedge funds short US stocks at 5-yr highs, biggest 2-week global tech selling in 10+ years. AI data-center junk spreads doubled; project finance hit $105B. Money rotating to defensives; Japan in correction. He expects a worse 'punch' eventually.
| Ticker | Action | Why | Target | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SILVER●●● | buy | Contrarian short-put trade after silver's pullback: profits if silver rises, goes sideways, or drops ~$4; ~77% probability, up to 13% by Nov 20. | — | today |
XAU●●● | buy | Central banks are buying at ~5x the old pace (Russia reserve freeze trigger); the dip is rate-driven noise. UBS sees pullbacks toward $4,000/oz as a chance to add; BofA: 'the trade is long gold.' | — | 6d ago |
EOG●●● | buy | One of the biggest American shale drillers benefiting from high oil prices. Fundamentals are improving with strong revenue growth, profit growth, and cash flow, plus good margins. Felix explicitly says he is telling viewers to buy the stock. | — | 3w ago |
Contrarian short-put trade after silver's pullback: profits if silver rises, goes sideways, or drops ~$4; ~77% probability, up to 13% by Nov 20.
Central banks are buying at ~5x the old pace (Russia reserve freeze trigger); the dip is rate-driven noise. UBS sees pullbacks toward $4,000/oz as a chance to add; BofA: 'the trade is long gold.'
Low-fee (0.10%) US gold ETF he highlights as the cheap, simple fund route to gain gold exposure versus the pricier largest fund.
Micro gold ETF mentioned in passing as a slightly cheaper low-fee option among US gold funds.
Gold ETF that can be redeemed for physical metal; flagged for investors wanting fund convenience plus a delivery option.
Named as an under-the-radar top 'moat' (pricing power) stock in his screener — exactly the kind of business that passes inflation through and survives a reset.
Flagged as a little-followed stock with an impressive moat (pricing power) in his screener — the type of quality business he says holds value through a currency reset.
Cited alongside other little-known top moat-score names; strong pricing power makes it the kind of company that compounds through a currency reset.
The $1.6B weekly outflow is forced CTA/margin-call selling, not lost demand; such flushes historically precede Fed money printing, and silver then rallies hard.
Drop is mechanical (strong dollar, crowded trade, margin-cascade on paper price), not failure; once printing accelerates, gold reprices vs the devalued dollar, as in the 1970s and 2008.
One of the biggest American shale drillers benefiting from high oil prices. Fundamentals are improving with strong revenue growth, profit growth, and cash flow, plus good margins. Felix explicitly says he is telling viewers to buy the stock.
Overall score isn't great but the improvement trend is the sweet spot. Stock price is up significantly, cash flow generation and profit growth are at two-year bests. Used as an example that oil is doing well but investors should focus on quality companies rather than oil broadly.
CoreWeave is 'teetering on the brink'; data centers were built counting on its leases, so if it fails nobody leases them - a key AI-debt risk.
Meta's AI spending pushed the cost of insuring its debt (CDS) to a record - cited by Goldman as a trigger of the AI derating.
Lam Research's underwhelming guidance disappointed on chip-equipment demand, feeding doubts about whether the AI spending spree lasts.
Epicenter of circular AI financing: Nvidia invests in customer Volta, which borrows at 11% to buy 36,000 Nvidia GPUs, while bank traders de-risk AI capex even as analysts publish buy ratings.
Strongest stress signal: Oracle's data-center debt trades below face value, bankruptcy insurance costs are at 2009 highs, and original lenders are dumping part of a $38B loan at a discount to get out.
Cantor Fitzgerald's $2,000 target is cited as hype that warms sentiment and feeds the bank fee machine; he dismisses it as 'a $2,000 price target on some chip maker.'
Long-dated Treasuries are no longer a safe haven—TLT has lost about half its value since 2020 as yields hit generational highs; oversold enough that he sees a potential trade, but he hasn't bought yet.
Default insurance on Paramount is at the worst level of the 2008 financial crisis - 'not a wobble'; he sees the credit danger zone forming.
Miners are leveraged to gold but in a downtrend, down 20-40% from recent highs, and big money is currently selling; skip now and wait for a heartbeat-pattern breakout like the 2024 setups that led to huge rallies.
Shows a heartbeat base but flawed by a lower low; he is not a dip buyer and would only be interested on a breakout roughly 40 above the current price, where odds of making money are much better.
Tesla cutting capex signaled the AI spending boom may be cooling - one of Goldman's listed triggers for the AI-trade selloff.
Named as one of the stocks the creator presently owns; he screens it for inflation exposure but expresses no explicit bull or bear view.
Named as one of the stocks the creator presently owns; he screens it for inflation exposure but expresses no explicit bull or bear view.
The S&P 500 is approximately 50% AI exposure, meaning investors who think they are diversified via index funds are actually making one concentrated bet on AI/tech. A dot-com-style drawdown of ~78% would be devastating for retirees.
Felix debunks the 'lab gold' story: fusion-made gold costs ~100,000x the output's value, is radioactive, and is decades away — a scare narrative timed while central banks buy gold at record pace. He is bullish gold and silver as the hedge against money printing into the midterms, but says miners (GDX) are in a downtrend and it's not time to buy — wait for heartbeat breakouts. He is very excited about a post-midterm investment opportunity.
Felix argues the Nasdaq's $1.2T one-day plunge was an AI-trade 'derating,' not a market crash: money rotated out of tech/hyperscalers into staples, utilities, healthcare, financials and materials, while hedge funds short US stocks at 5-year highs. He warns junk-rated AI data-center debt (spreads doubled, 15-16% yields) could turn the rotation into a real crash, with the S&P 500 now moving in near-lockstep with AI stocks. His one trade: selling $46-strike puts on silver, a ~77%-probability contrarian bet into November 20.
Felix argues gold's sharp drop is a rate-hike-driven dip, not the end of the story: central banks are buying at ~5x the old pace since the Russia reserve freeze, and Goldman, UBS and BofA tell clients gold is structurally supported, with UBS calling pullbacks toward $4,000/oz a chance to add. He is bullish on gold as the hedge against US debt, financial repression and a weakening dollar, suggesting a modest ~5% allocation and a pre-planned buy level rather than panic selling. He also flags record US interest costs, 25-year-high 30-year yields, AI/data-center borrowing crowding out Treasuries, and ~1,600 'zombie' companies as risks if borrowing stays expensive.
Felix argues a once-in-a-lifetime currency reset will quietly rewrite the value of everything held in old money, destroying cash, savings and pensions, while three assets survive: physical gold, productive property, and equities with real pricing power, moats and manageable debt. He singles out heavily indebted AI 'neo-cloud' names like CoreWeave as losers, citing $3.3B of insider selling and a ~3-month cash runway. He urges diversification across the survivors rather than going all-in on gold, whose near-term price he says looks weak.
Felix argues the AI boom's debt-funded 'plumbing' layer is cracking, using CoreWeave ($3.3B of founder selling, bonds at 76 cents, record CDS implying ~60% default odds) as the warning sign, and parallels it to 2000 when the Nasdaq fell 78% and took 15 years to recover. He concedes today's valuations (~21x forward earnings) and real compute demand are far less extreme than 2000, and cites Goldman's desk view that recent forced selling may be a local bottom, though Goldman warns too much capital chases too little power-ready compute and repricing could come via 'violent dislocation.' His view: a reset of the borrowed layer of AI, not the end of AI; he's watching the Nasdaq 100's 100-day moving average, CoreWeave's bond/CDS prices, earnings, and insider-selling alerts.
The creator argues Wall Street is quietly de-risking AI while its analysts tell the public to buy: Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan arranged a $5B loan for AI-chip buyer Volta, banked the fees, and offloaded most of the risk on 'best efforts' terms. He cites Oracle's debt trading below face value with 2009-level bankruptcy insurance, Meta hiding AI spend in SPVs, and Goldman traders' note to 'de-risk from AI capex' as evidence the smart money is exiting. He frames AI and oil/energy as one story and warns the credit cycle is slowing, with risk migrating to pensions and insurers.
Felix argues the US bond market is breaking: 10Y yields near 5.2% have forced the Treasury to prop up its own debt via doubled buybacks and a shift to short-term bills, while Morgan Stanley warns interest costs could exceed growth by 2030, creating a self-feeding debt spiral. AI capex is driving inflation (memory chips, software), keeping the Fed hiking, and with AI names at 49% of the S&P 500 he sees a bubble that smart money like Temasek is already exiting. He urges viewers to audit their AI exposure, avoid debt-heavy AI builders like Oracle, and stop treating long-term bonds (TLT) as safe.
Felix argues the Yemeni missile strike on Riyadh is straining the 1974 petrodollar pact: Saudi Arabia is hedging with Turkey/Pakistan defense pacts, sold ~$11B of Treasuries in a single month, and is eyeing gold and dollar-bypass payment rails. He sees a gradual dollar reset underway, noting central banks kept buying gold through its worst quarter in 13 years, and warns that cash and passive buy-and-hold investors will lose. He urges viewers to audit holdings, stress-test against 2022-style oil/inflation shocks, and learn to follow institutional money.
Felix argues a global 'credit reset' is underway: US borrowing costs hit multi-decade highs and AI-linked credit (Oracle, SpaceX, Meta's data-center bond, Paramount CDS) is cracking while 89% of US stocks are quietly in a bear market. He expects the Fed to ultimately print money to prevent a credit collapse, debasing the dollar, which historically favors unprintable assets like silver and long-dated bonds. His two current focuses are silver (waiting for the $1.6B institutional flush to exhaust before buying) and unloved long bonds via TLT (a measured position he is considering but has not yet bought).
Felix frames the record Japan 30-year yield, Europe's bond contagion, and US yields at 2004 highs as one global debt crisis that ends in deliberate financial repression and money printing. He argues gold's drop is a mechanical liquidity event (strong dollar, crowded trade, margin-call cascades) that historically precedes a massive repricing, so holders shouldn't panic sell. He warns against debt-dependent zombie companies and urges sizing positions to survive volatility.
Based on AI analysis of this creator's recent videos. Theses are paraphrases of the creator's own words, not verbatim quotes. Not financial advice.