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Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)

@FelixFriends

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20 videos analyzed
49 stocks covered
last video today

This page tracks every stock Felix & Friends (Goat Academy) has discussed on YouTube, extracted from AI transcription of their 20 most recent videos covering 49 tickers. They are currently bullish on GLD, SLV, KO, BRK.B, V, MA and others. Bearish on MSFT, AMZN, META, SPY, PLTR, NFLX. Each take below includes their stated reasoning and, where given, a price target.

🌍 Market view

today · The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to the FED (& Why Gold and Silver are Next)

Goldman Sachs' top cross-asset traders state the Fed is now a passenger, not a driver, because the AI capital expenditure cycle—the most capital-hungry in history—is driving long-term interest rates through massive bond issuance. Hyperscalers are expected to issue $1.3T in debt next year, out-borrowing the US government. This ends the savings glut era as tech, governments, defense, and reshoring all compete for the same pool of savings, pushing yields higher. The spending is inflationary because productivity gains haven't materialized yet. Government bond buybacks are described as a 'firecracker in a hurricane.' The creator believes sitting in cash guarantees real losses and that the smart money rotates into gold as trust in government paper cracks globally.

Gold/MetalsAI/Tech HyperscalersGovernment BondsIndex Funds/Passive InvestingGovernment bonds and cash → Gold and precious metals: As trust in government paper cracks due to massive deficits and AI-driven debt crowding out the bond market, patient money rotates into gold which has no counterparty risk and cannot be printed.S&P 500 index funds → Gold and diversified assets: Creator warns the S&P 500 is dangerously concentrated in AI hyperscalers and recommends attending his 'Index Fund Trap' training to learn how to reposition.
1d ago No macro or market commentary was provided in the transcript.
2d ago The US Treasury is doubling a long-dated debt buyback program funded by newly printed money, running through November 4th, effectively making the government the buyer of its own debt. Simultaneously, Japan—the largest foreign holder of US debt—sold $88-90 billion in a single month, the largest sell-off in history. The bond market now expects rates to rise toward 4% rather than fall, creating a contradictory policy of printing money while rates climb. Real-world inflation has exceeded 100% since COVID, and the dollar has lost 93% of its value since 1971. Big tech is borrowing ~$1 trillion for AI data centers, compounding debt supply at the same time the government floods the market. Physical gold is being exported from US vaults at record levels, and countries are repatriating their gold holdings.
3d ago New wars consistently cause oil prices to spike, leading to higher inflation and subsequently higher interest rates on US government bonds. As a result, institutional capital rotates out of non-yielding assets like gold and silver into US government debt, which offers a roughly 5% yield and is perceived as risk-free. This dynamic causes an initial drop in precious metals prices at the start of conflicts.
4d ago Felix sees a coordinated monetary reset: Trump is pressuring the Fed to cut rates by September 16th, breaking the independence between money printers and politicians. Simultaneously, countries are repatriating gold from US vaults (Netherlands, France, Germany), Norway's sovereign wealth fund is cutting US Treasury holdings by ~$80B, and traditional debt buyers like Japan and Gulf states are stepping back. 21 major banks are building a digital dollar stablecoin for 2027. He expects inflation to accelerate as the dollar's trust erodes, drawing parallels to the post-1971 inflation decade. He recommends holding less cash, owning gold and hard assets, and buying businesses with pricing power. He also mentions buying railway stocks recently as boring, cash-generating businesses.

💰 Bought / added (20)

TickerActionWhyTargetWhen
GLD●●●
buyGoldman Sachs' metals desk says gold's bull trend will resume with new record highs ahead. Central banks are now buying over 1,000 tons/year (a third of all mine supply), creating a structural supply squeeze where even modest investment inflows can move prices significantly higher.$4,000today
BRK.B●●
buyTrump is leaning into boring, defensive stocks like Berkshire, reflecting a shift away from crowded AI names toward companies with durable value.2d ago
V●●
buyTrump is buying Visa as part of a rotation into boring, pricing-power businesses that can withstand inflation and money printing.2d ago
MA●●
buyTrump is buying Mastercard as a defensive, pricing-power play, moving away from crowded AI stocks.2d ago
HD●●
buyTrump is rotating into Home Depot as a boring, defensive stock with real pricing power amid money printing and inflation risks.2d ago
RSG●●
buyTrump is buying Republic Services because garbage collection is a non-discretionary service people will always need and pay for, making it a resilient inflation hedge.2d ago
FNV●●
buyA royalty and streaming company with a superior business model to miners, keeping over 70 cents of every revenue dollar with no debt and minimal operational risk. It offers gold leverage without the operational headaches of mining.6d ago
BRK.B●●
buyTrump bought Berkshire Hathaway; Felix describes it as a giant cash pile and insurer, a real business that throws off cash and is a safe harbor amid money printing and dollar devaluation.2w ago
V●●
buyTrump bought Visa; Felix calls it a 'toll booth' that takes a cut on every transaction regardless of economic conditions, and actually benefits from inflation since higher prices mean a larger take.2w ago
MA●●
buyTrump bought Mastercard; same toll-booth thesis as Visa — a cash machine that profits from every swipe and benefits when prices rise due to inflation.2w ago
HD●●
buyTrump bought Home Depot; Felix groups it with real businesses making real cash, part of the rotation away from speculative tech into boring, cash-generating companies.2w ago
RSG●●
buyTrump bought Republic Services; Felix highlights it as a real, boring hard business that generates cash, fitting the pattern of moving into tangible cash-flowing assets.2w ago
UBER●●●
buyUber is misperceived as just a taxi app; it is investing in drone delivery via Zipline (targeting 1M deliveries/day by 2029) and robotaxis, which the market isn't pricing in. The core business generated ~$5B cash and $14B revenue last quarter, making it a profitable growth company with a free lottery ticket in drones and self-driving.3w ago
INTC●●
buyIntel is a turnaround story with the US government as a stakeholder and ally, a CEO who just bought $10M of his own shares, and data center/AI revenue up 59%. However, it is diluting shareholders with $20B in new shares to fund factories, and the manufacturing arm is still losing money, so it requires a smaller position size.3w ago
GOOGL●●●
buyGoogle is down 11% in three months on fears AI chatbots will kill search, but its cloud business grew 82%, revenue is up 24%, EPS growth was 296%, and it holds $373B in cash. Major funds including Buffett, Ackman, and Druckenmiller are all buying, and Buffett increased his position by 83%, viewing it like a railway.3w ago

🐂 Bullish on (28)

GLDbullishbuy●●●2× · today

Goldman Sachs' metals desk says gold's bull trend will resume with new record highs ahead. Central banks are now buying over 1,000 tons/year (a third of all mine supply), creating a structural supply squeeze where even modest investment inflows can move prices significantly higher.

Price target: $4,000

SLVbullishwatch●●today

Silver is a much smaller market with only ~20% of demand from investment, meaning investor inflows can cause massive price spikes to $50-$100/oz. However, it is extremely volatile with 20-30% air pockets and is a trader's market requiring strong risk tolerance.

KObullishhold●●2d ago

A brilliant company with real pricing power because consumers are addicted to its products, allowing it to raise prices during inflationary periods and preserve value.

BRK.Bbullishbuy●●2× · 2d ago

Trump is leaning into boring, defensive stocks like Berkshire, reflecting a shift away from crowded AI names toward companies with durable value.

Vbullishbuy●●3× · 2d ago

Trump is buying Visa as part of a rotation into boring, pricing-power businesses that can withstand inflation and money printing.

MAbullishbuy●●3× · 2d ago

Trump is buying Mastercard as a defensive, pricing-power play, moving away from crowded AI stocks.

HDbullishbuy●●2× · 2d ago

Trump is rotating into Home Depot as a boring, defensive stock with real pricing power amid money printing and inflation risks.

RSGbullishbuy●●2× · 2d ago

Trump is buying Republic Services because garbage collection is a non-discretionary service people will always need and pay for, making it a resilient inflation hedge.

FNVbullishbuy●●6d ago

A royalty and streaming company with a superior business model to miners, keeping over 70 cents of every revenue dollar with no debt and minimal operational risk. It offers gold leverage without the operational headaches of mining.

CEGbullishwatch●●2w ago

Owns the Three Mile Island plant that Microsoft has signed a 20-year contract to restart, plus deals with Meta on Clinton plants in Illinois. One of only three companies legally permitted to sell nuclear power directly to private buyers in deregulated markets, creating a legal moat. Stock has pulled back ~31% from highs while the underlying demand story has intensified.

VSTbullishwatch●●2w ago

One of only three companies with a meaningful fleet of nuclear plants in deregulated markets, giving it a legal monopoly to sell directly to desperate big tech buyers. Notable political insiders including Nancy Pelosi and Donald Trump have reportedly bought the stock. Down ~33% from highs despite the power shortage story strengthening.

TLNbullishwatch●●2w ago

Smallest of the three deregulated nuclear operators, most directly tied to a single customer via the Susquehanna plant serving Amazon's data center in Pennsylvania. Fundamentals look poor on paper, which is why most investors are overlooking it, but the 20-year contract pipeline has not yet shown up in earnings.

GEVbullishwatch●●2w ago

A 'toll collector' play that benefits regardless of which power generation technology wins. Gas turbine backlog has grown from 83 to 116 gigawatts (a six-year production backlog at current build rates), and its grid business has a $42 billion backlog driven by a global transformer shortage, letting the seller set prices.

UBERbullishbuy●●●3w ago

Uber is misperceived as just a taxi app; it is investing in drone delivery via Zipline (targeting 1M deliveries/day by 2029) and robotaxis, which the market isn't pricing in. The core business generated ~$5B cash and $14B revenue last quarter, making it a profitable growth company with a free lottery ticket in drones and self-driving.

INTCbullishbuy●●2× · 3w ago

Intel is a turnaround story with the US government as a stakeholder and ally, a CEO who just bought $10M of his own shares, and data center/AI revenue up 59%. However, it is diluting shareholders with $20B in new shares to fund factories, and the manufacturing arm is still losing money, so it requires a smaller position size.

GOOGLbullishbuy●●●3× · 3w ago

Google is down 11% in three months on fears AI chatbots will kill search, but its cloud business grew 82%, revenue is up 24%, EPS growth was 296%, and it holds $373B in cash. Major funds including Buffett, Ackman, and Druckenmiller are all buying, and Buffett increased his position by 83%, viewing it like a railway.

ZIMbullishbuy●●3w ago

ZIM is a deep-value play trading at ~$3.4B market cap with $2.7B in cash and $1.5B in trailing cash generation—roughly 80% of its value is cash. Shipping rates are elevated due to Middle East conflict, but if rates soften the business loses money, making it a wildly cyclical bet that the panic has priced as if dead.

UMACbullishwatch●●●3w ago

UMAC is the clearest pure-play toll booth on the American drone arms race, selling NDAA-compliant motors and components that every US drone maker must buy. Revenue growth is extraordinary (687% YoY recently), but the company is burning cash and may dilute shareholders, making this a high-risk growth story rather than a blue chip.

DRNZbullishbuy●●3w ago

DRNZ is a pure-play drone ETF with a lower fee than UAV, offering diversified exposure across multiple drone names so one failure doesn't sink the portfolio. Felix prefers it as the middle-ground risk option for investors who want drone exposure without single-name risk.

IQLTbullishhold●●3w ago

Felix owns this international quality stock ETF and uses it as an example of a position he holds with a defined exit strategy based on the 150-day moving average.

TMCIbullishhold●●3w ago

Felix owns TMCI and is up approximately 20%, having bought it based on a breakout pattern and the 50-day moving average trending up. He has an exit set below recent lows.

MKCbullishwatch●●3w ago

Felix is watching McCormick as a potential buy if it closes above the 150-day moving average line, citing a breakout from a sideways consolidation pattern.

AMDbullishhold●●3w ago

Used as a positive example of a big winner—$50,000 invested one year ago would be worth $139,000, illustrating the opportunity cost of holding underperformers like Netflix.

IBMbullishbuy●●●4w ago

IBM received $1B from the US government and is investing $1B of its own money into a standalone quantum company building a 300mm quantum wafer factory in Albany. They acquired HRL Labs for its spin qubit technology that can be manufactured on ordinary semiconductor equipment, giving them a scalable manufacturing route. They generate more cash than they spend, making them a relatively safe way to gain quantum exposure.

HONbullishbuy●●●4w ago

Honeywell holds a majority stake in Quantinuum, whose hardware Oracle just physically installed in its cloud data center. It offers a way to own a quantum business tucked inside a boring, profitable industrial company at lower risk. Recent earnings beat expectations on revenue.

IONQbullishbuy●●4w ago

IONQ generated $80M in revenue last quarter, up 287% year-over-year and 40% ahead of estimates, with a ~$500M order backlog. They acquired Skywater to bring chip manufacturing in-house. Still loss-making and burning cash, making it a tier-two pure play requiring strict risk management.

INFQbullishwatch●●4w ago

A speculative tier-three lottery ticket using neutral atom technology with a quantum sensing business that has current defense customers. They received $100M from the government and have $400M in cash. Very high risk, position sizing is everything.

XNDUbullishwatch●●4w ago

The first listed photonic pure play, listed only in March. Revenue quadrupled and photonics runs at room temperature, which if it works is fantastic. Extremely speculative and high risk; the creator says it may be too risky for him and position sizing must be very small.

🐻 Bearish on (16)

MSFTbearishtrim●●today

Named as a hyperscaler contributing to the most capital-hungry investment cycle in history. These companies are borrowing enormous amounts ($1.3T expected next year) to fund AI data centers, making them the biggest force in the bond market and implicitly inflationary before any productivity gains materialize.

AMZNbearishtrim●●today

Named as a hyperscaler driving the unprecedented AI borrowing wave. The massive debt issuance to fund data centers is crowding out the bond market, pushing up long-term rates, and creating inflationary pressure with no proven productivity payoff yet.

METAbearishtrim●●2× · today

Named as a hyperscaler contributing to the trillion-dollar AI borrowing spree. These companies are the most crowded and expensive names on the planet and dominate S&P 500 index funds, creating concentration risk for passive investors.

SPYbearishsell●●●2× · today

The S&P 500 is misleading investors because 70% of the fund sits in just 10 AI hyperscaler companies that are the most crowded and expensive names on the planet. Warren Buffett sold his index fund position, and major Wall Street traders are warning about over-concentration.

PLTRbearishsell●●2w ago

Trump is selling Palantir; Felix identifies it as a hot AI name that the crowd is piling into while big money moves out.

NFLXbearishtrim●●2× · 2w ago

Trump is trimming Netflix; Felix groups it with the crowded tech/AI trades that smart money is reducing exposure to.

SSNLFbearishsell●●3w ago

Samsung is one of two companies that dominate the Korean market, which crashed 10% in a single day and triggered circuit breakers. Felix uses it as a cautionary example of concentration risk in AI/chip stocks, warning that over-concentration in a handful of names combined with leverage creates a fragile, Korea-style setup.

NKEbearishsell●●3w ago

Cited as a household-name stock that has lost 30-50% in the last six months while the broader market rose, illustrating that brand-name fame does not protect your money.

LULUbearishsell●●3w ago

Grouped with Nike as a famous consumer stock that has lost 30-50% in six months, used to show that buy-and-hold on popular names can be dangerous.

LCIDbearishsell●●3w ago

Used as an example of a loser down approximately 40%, illustrating how selling at a 10% loss and rotating into a winner like Intel would have avoided a much larger loss.

SOFIbearishsell●●3w ago

Mentioned as down about 10% year-to-date, underperforming the S&P by 20% and Intel by 130%, used to illustrate the cost of holding underperformers.

PYPLbearishsell●●3w ago

Used as the primary chart example for the 150-day moving average sell rule—it went from $100 to $300 then collapsed back to ~$20, and following the rule would have preserved most gains.

PLUGbearishsell●●3w ago

Described as a speculative trader's stock that went from $2 to $75 during COVID then back to $2, illustrating that the 150-day MA rule is insufficient for highly volatile stocks and traders need different rules.

CAVAbearishsell●●3w ago

Felix highlights that the CEO switched from buying to selling $3 million of stock at the top, after which the stock collapsed—a key insider-selling signal he monitors.

NVTSbearishsell●●3w ago

A director who previously bought sold $89 million of stock one day after the market peak; the stock is down 51% since, illustrating the insider flip-from-buying-to-selling signal.

PTONbearishsell●●3w ago

Cited as a historical example where insiders sold $500 million of stock in 2021 before the stock dropped 70%, reinforcing the value of tracking insider selling pattern changes.

😐 Neutral / watching (5)

GDXneutralwatch●●6d ago

A basket fund for gold miners that offers leverage to the gold price, but carries business and operational risks. The creator has made money on miners but warns that the leverage cuts both ways.

UAVneutralwatch●●3w ago

UAV is a pure-play drone ETF but charges a crazy high fee, making DRNZ the better choice for the same exposure. Felix notes it holds similar names like Unusual Machines and Red Cat.

BAneutralwatch●●3w ago

Mentioned only to illustrate that buying broad aerospace and defense ETFs gives you companies like Boeing whose drone business is a negligible fraction of revenue, meaning you don't get the pure drone exposure you're actually looking for.

RGTIneutralwatch●●4w ago

Revenue is growing and margins are turning positive as they approach break-even, and they own their own fab. However, the creator is cautious and would only want to own it if it exceeds approximately $20 per share, which it has not done. The current chart setup does not look like a winning pattern yet.

Price target: $20

QBTSneutralsell●●4w ago

The bull case around commercial production and annealing technology remains intact, but the stock is only up 2% during the best three-month news cycle in quantum history. The creator is demoting it from his list and would rather be transparent about that than quietly stop mentioning it.

🎬 Recent videos analyzed

Felix Preen argues the Fed has lost control of long-term interest rates to an unprecedented AI-driven borrowing wave by hyperscalers, which is inflationary and crowding out the bond market. He relays Goldman Sachs' view that gold is in an elongated pause before new highs, with central banks absorbing a third of annual mine supply creating a price floor near $4,000. He warns that S&P 500 index funds are dangerously concentrated in these same AI companies and advocates understanding the 'index fund trap.' Silver is presented as a higher-risk, higher-reward trade with violent drawdowns.

The creator discusses general investing discipline, emphasizing the importance of writing down buy criteria, matching a stock to those criteria, and predefining sell points for both gains and losses before entering a position. No specific stocks or macro themes are discussed.

The creator warns that the US government is doubling a debt buyback program funded by money printing, while Japan—the largest foreign buyer of US debt—is selling record amounts. He argues real inflation has exceeded 100% since COVID, the S&P 500 is dangerously concentrated in AI names (72% of gains from top 10), and physical gold is leaving US vaults at record levels. He advocates owning businesses with real pricing power and a sensible allocation to gold, while warning against holding cash or blindly trusting index funds.

The creator explains the macroeconomic mechanism behind why gold and silver prices typically drop at the onset of new wars. Wars drive up oil prices, which increases inflation, in turn pushing up interest rates on US government bonds. This causes institutional money to rotate out of non-yielding metals into risk-free, higher-yielding government debt.

Felix argues a global monetary reset is underway, driven by four interconnected developments: Trump pressuring the Fed to cut rates, foreign nations repatriating gold from US vaults, Norway and other traditional buyers dumping US Treasuries, and 21 major banks building a new digital dollar stablecoin. He warns the S&P 500 is dangerously concentrated in 10 expensive AI stocks and recommends reducing cash, owning hard assets like gold, and buying businesses with pricing power and strong moats.

The video discusses retirement planning, warning against panic selling or moving to cash due to inflation risk. The creator highlights inflation and AI exposure as the biggest current risks and mentions Jim Rogers has largely sold out of positions in favor of safety, though no specific stocks are discussed.

The creator argues against buying gold ETFs like GLD, citing that the physical gold backing each share shrinks annually due to fees and that retail investors cannot redeem shares for metal. Instead, he advocates for owning physical allocated gold as a foundation, using miners for leverage (with caution), and favoring royalty and streaming companies like Franco-Nevada for miner-like economics with less operational risk. He views gold as an insurance policy, recommending a 5-15% portfolio allocation.

Felix warns that Japan's record-high 30-year bond yields (4.18%) signal a systemic debt crisis heading for the US and global markets. He draws parallels between Japan's debt spiral and America's $40 trillion debt, arguing governments will inflate away currency value rather than default. He believes the AI bubble mirrors the 2000 dot-com crash, with valuations worse today. He cautions that most investors who think they own gold actually hold paper claims with no physical metal backing, and that physical gold is insurance but not a wealth-builder. He promotes a free webinar on portfolio protection.

Felix Breen explains how the bond market is the 'master switch' that controls all asset prices via the risk-free rate, and warns that the US government is trapped in a debt spiral with $40 trillion in debt and interest costs exceeding military spending. He draws parallels to Japan, where the central bank bought half of government debt, leading to currency debasement. He argues governments will inflate away debt by printing money, eroding cash holders' purchasing power, and recommends gold as insurance. He also warns that the current AI bubble mirrors the 2000 internet bubble, where obvious winners like Cisco, Yahoo, and AOL were ultimately destroyed.

The creator discusses gold and silver as stores of historical value, noting both are near all-time highs. He owns both but is not buying at current levels and would add on dips.

Based on AI analysis of this creator's recent videos. Theses are paraphrases of the creator's own words, not verbatim quotes. Not financial advice.